Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 2089.560130 2270.280220 2453.617866 2653.244994 2864.190829 3080.179848 3317.756799
2025-03-09 1816.171600 2086.773397 2371.879869 2693.505998 3045.079715 3416.592696 3837.713295
2025-03-16 1603.236924 1922.465076 2268.518166 2669.170532 3117.884966 3602.635192 4163.562666
2025-03-23 1492.633755 1853.551858 2253.927713 2727.139092 3267.244873 3860.697919 4558.200299
2025-03-30 1378.508226 1768.256682 2209.869861 2741.639012 3358.887303 4047.262866 4867.339381
2025-04-06 1275.365831 1686.598563 2161.840447 2743.973415 3430.058389 4205.444481 5140.289485
2025-04-13 1141.364877 1558.674724 2050.980789 2664.719855 3399.336347 4240.726108 5267.273750
2025-04-20 1106.467300 1548.404939 2077.934229 2746.782877 3556.533821 4493.041804 5645.488639
2025-04-27 1056.248854 1515.259071 2073.930689 2788.860545 3664.182715 4686.204859 5954.413506
2025-05-04 989.955606 1457.567098 2036.061451 2786.362672 3715.564510 4810.970158 6181.648808
2025-05-11 922.302611 1394.176544 1987.583511 2767.552968 3744.425569 4906.865970 6373.243302
2025-05-18 880.914679 1362.908143 1977.801354 2795.401253 3829.343972 5069.554482 6644.791319
2025-05-25 826.329706 1312.058821 1941.656372 2789.482738 3872.970528 5183.853520 6861.135691
2025-06-01 794.436649 1290.557640 1942.630765 2830.398356 3975.192506 5370.442810 7166.812429
2025-06-08 739.434721 1233.907183 1894.452529 2805.211791 3991.830532 5450.168511 7341.016427
2025-06-15 720.391150 1226.901869 1911.866057 2865.264554 4116.964995 5664.759594 7681.956117
2025-06-22 686.466522 1196.636794 1896.189602 2880.284019 4183.335261 5805.626232 7931.954906
2025-06-29 650.470022 1161.438187 1872.120981 2882.701986 4232.353127 5924.142798 8154.145106
2025-07-06 588.880736 1084.884876 1787.555525 2800.599695 4168.327195 5897.530205 8193.043441
2025-07-13 584.764315 1095.231035 1825.389224 2885.611992 4325.072193 6152.968400 8588.267775
2025-07-20 568.015174 1085.158665 1833.426345 2929.191964 4426.763318 6338.274348 8895.748851
2025-07-27 538.348337 1053.381676 1808.947683 2926.605094 4466.053177 6442.947215 9101.001739
2025-08-03 505.585307 1014.986582 1773.348343 2907.124467 4481.575227 6516.200210 9265.923774